Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuingamp to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceGuingamp or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Guingamp vs Boulogne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 14 August the Ligue 2 brings Guingamp against Boulogne at Stade du Roudourou. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Guingamp are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Boulogne are 12th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guingamp, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Metz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Boulogne, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nancy, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Boulogne, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Guingamp.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guingamp 1.5 xG, Boulogne 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guingamp 62%, draw 25%, Boulogne 13%.
Lower-risk option: Guingamp or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guingamp 1–0 Boulogne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guingamp62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.65
Boulogne13%fair 7.69 · @4.60
2.07Expected goals
1.53Guingamp xG
0.53Boulogne xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Guingamp 1.5 – 0.5 Boulogne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guingamp to win✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Guingamp or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Draw no bet
Guingamp (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Guingamp -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.10
First team to score
Guingamp to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guingamp / FT Guingamp✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
Guingamp – last 6
LDLLLD
8 Aug
@ Metz
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
22 Jul
vs Concarneau
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Rennes
1–3
L
10 Jul
vs Laval
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Boulogne – last 6
DDLWLW
8 Aug
vs Nancy
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Valenciennes
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Rouen
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Amiens
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Lens
1–4
L
15 Jul
@ Fleury 91
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guingamp and Boulogne.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Guingamp vs Boulogne?
On our numbers Guingamp have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boulogne 13%.
How many goals will there be in Guingamp vs Boulogne?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Boulogne?
Our predicted score is Guingamp 1–0 Boulogne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Guingamp vs Boulogne?
Guingamp vs Boulogne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Roudourou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
