Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.22
Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 14 August the Ligue 2 brings Saint Etienne against Clermont Foot at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Saint Etienne are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 12 matches; Clermont Foot are 15th (lower half) with 11. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Saint Etienne, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sochaux, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Clermont Foot, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Reims, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saint Etienne 1.7 xG, Clermont Foot 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saint Etienne 67%, draw 21%, Clermont Foot 12%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saint Etienne 1–0 Clermont Foot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saint Etienne67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.00
Clermont Foot12%fair 8.36 · @6.00
2.22Expected goals
1.69Saint Etienne xG
0.52Clermont Foot xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 1.7 – 0.5 Clermont Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Draw no bet
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Saint Etienne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.48 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.18
First team to score
Saint Etienne to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.22
–
Recent results
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWLLD
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
29 Jul
vs Lausanne
4–0
W
22 Jul
@ Rangers
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Servette FC
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Biel-Bienne
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Clermont Foot – last 6
DDLWDW
8 Aug
vs Reims
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Grenoble
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Andrézieux
4–1
W
15 Jul
vs Bourges Foot 18
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Orleans
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Clermont Foot.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Clermont Foot 12%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 1–0 Clermont Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
