Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Montpellier to win @ 2.55 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✓46% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.71
Nancy vs Montpellier: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 14 August the Ligue 2 brings Nancy against Montpellier at Stade Marcel Picot. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Nancy are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Montpellier are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nancy, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Boulogne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Montpellier, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dijon, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Montpellier, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Nancy.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Nancy 0–3 Montpellier.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nancy 0.8 xG, Montpellier 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nancy 31%, draw 22%, Montpellier 46%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Montpellier to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nancy 0–1 Montpellier. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nancy31%fair 3.18 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Montpellier46%fair 2.17 · @2.55
1.81Expected goals
0.77Nancy xG
1.04Montpellier xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nancy 0.8 – 1.0 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Nancy vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Nancy have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Montpellier 46%.
How many goals will there be in Nancy vs Montpellier?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Nancy 0–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nancy vs Montpellier?
Nancy vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Picot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
