Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMetz to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Grenoble vs Metz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 14 August: Grenoble v Metz in the Ligue 2, played at Stade des Alpes. In the table, Grenoble are 17th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Metz are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Grenoble, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Dunkerque, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Metz, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Guingamp, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Metz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Grenoble.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grenoble 1.5 xG, Metz 2.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grenoble 27%, draw 22%, Metz 51%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grenoble 1–2 Metz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grenoble27%fair 3.70 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Metz51%fair 1.95 · @2.00
3.57Expected goals
1.48Grenoble xG
2.08Metz xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Grenoble 1.5 – 2.1 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Metz (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Grenoble +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.10
First team to score
Metz to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Metz ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Grenoble – last 6
LLDLLW
8 Aug
@ Dunkerque
2–4
L
1 Aug
@ Andrézieux
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Estac Troyes
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Villefranche
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
WLWWWW
8 Aug
vs Guingamp
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Sittard
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Sochaux
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Seraing United
5–0
W
11 Jul
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grenoble and Metz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Grenoble vs Metz?
On our numbers Grenoble have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metz 51%.
How many goals will there be in Grenoble vs Metz?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grenoble vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Grenoble 1–2 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Grenoble vs Metz?
Grenoble vs Metz (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade des Alpes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
