Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓51% · @3.50
Double chanceLe Mans or draw ✓76% · @1.45
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✓6% · fair 17.26
Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Ligue 1 brings Le Mans against Stade Brestois 29 at Stade Marie-Marvingt. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Le Mans are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Stade Brestois 29 are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Le Mans, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Le Havre, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Stade Brestois 29, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nottingham Forest, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Le Mans, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Stade Brestois 29.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Mans 1.4 xG, Stade Brestois 29 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Mans 25%, draw 51%, Stade Brestois 29 24%.
Lower-risk option: Le Mans or draw (76%) at 1.45.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Le Mans or draw (76%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Mans 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Mans25%fair 3.96 · @2.48
Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.50
Stade Brestois 2924%fair 4.23 · @2.64
2.78Expected goals
1.41Le Mans xG
1.37Stade Brestois 29 xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Le Mans 1.4 – 1.4 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
51%
1.96
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Le Mans or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.45 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Le Mans (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Stade Brestois 29 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Le Mans to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Mans / FT Le Mans✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✓
6%
17.26
–
Recent results
Le Mans – last 6
LDWWWL
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Angers
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Versailles
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs La Roche VF
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 6
LDWDLD
16 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Venezia
2–2
D
5 Aug
@ Stade Briochin
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Concarneau
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Le Mans or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Stade Brestois 29 24%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
