Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLens to win ✓66% · @1.54
Double chanceLens or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Lens vs Auxerre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Lens v Auxerre in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. In the table, Lens are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Auxerre are 14th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lens, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paris Saint Germain, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 6. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Auxerre, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Werder Bremen, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 2.1 xG, Auxerre 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 66%, draw 19%, Auxerre 14%.
Lower-risk option: Lens or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 2–0 Auxerre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens66%fair 1.50 · @1.54
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.20
Auxerre14%fair 7.07 · @5.60
3.02Expected goals
2.14Lens xG
0.88Auxerre xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lens 2.1 – 0.9 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✓
66%
1.50
1.54
Double chance
Lens or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Lens (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Lens -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Lens to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Lens ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Lens – last 6
WLWDWW
16 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Sunderland
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Villarreal
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Charleroi
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Boulogne
4–1
W
22 May
vs Nice
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 6
WDDLWW
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs St Maur Lusitanos
5–2
W
17 May
@ Lille
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lens vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Lens have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Auxerre 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Auxerre?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–0 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Auxerre?
Lens vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
