Value bet: Paris FC to win @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParis FC to win ✗51% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Estac Troyes vs Paris FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paris FC travel to face Estac Troyes on Saturday 22 August in the Ligue 1 – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Estac Troyes are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Paris FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estac Troyes, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Panetolikos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Paris FC, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Angers, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estac Troyes 1.2 xG, Paris FC 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estac Troyes 27%, draw 22%, Paris FC 51%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Paris FC to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estac Troyes 1–1 Paris FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estac Troyes27%fair 3.68 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.45
Paris FC51%fair 1.95 · @2.30
2.89Expected goals
1.17Estac Troyes xG
1.72Paris FC xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.2 – 1.7 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris FC to win✗
51%
1.95
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Draw no bet
Paris FC (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Estac Troyes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Paris FC to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris FC / FT Paris FC✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Estac Troyes – last 6
DDWWWL
14 Aug
vs Panetolikos
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Nancy
3–1
W
13 Apr
@ Rodez
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paris FC – last 6
LLDWWW
15 Aug
@ Angers
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–4
L
1 Aug
@ VfB Stuttgart
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Reims
1–0
W
17 May
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–1
W
10 Apr
vs Monaco
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Paris FC.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris FC 51%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–1 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?
Estac Troyes vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
