Nice welcome Lorient to Allianz Riviera for a Ligue 1 fixture on Saturday 22 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Nice are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Lorient are 10th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nice, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hull City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Lorient, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to SV Elversberg, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Lorient, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Nice.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Nice 3–3 Lorient.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nice 1.6 xG, Lorient 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nice 48%, draw 21%, Lorient 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nice 1–1 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nice48%fair 2.10 · @2.08
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
Lorient31%fair 3.24 · @3.30
2.78Expected goals
1.58Nice xG
1.21Lorient xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nice 1.6 – 1.2 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nice vs Lorient?
On our numbers Nice have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lorient 31%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Lorient?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Lorient?
Nice vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
