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Cracovia Krakow v Raków Częstochowa: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium
Cracovia Krakow 38%Draw 23%Raków Częstochowa 40% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.03
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗40% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.39

Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Cracovia Krakow v Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa, played at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium. In the table, Cracovia Krakow are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cracovia Krakow, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Slask Wroclaw, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Raków Częstochowa, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hammarby FF, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Raków Częstochowa 4–1 Cracovia Krakow.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cracovia Krakow 1.0 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cracovia Krakow 38%, draw 23%, Raków Częstochowa 40%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cracovia Krakow 0–1 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cracovia Krakow38%fair 2.65 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Raków Częstochowa40%fair 2.53 · @2.46
2.03Expected goals
1.00Cracovia Krakow xG
1.03Raków Częstochowa xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Cracovia Krakow 1.0 – 1.0 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗40%2.532.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.91
Draw no betRaków Częstochowa (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapCracovia Krakow +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.07
First team to scoreRaków Częstochowa to score first ✓44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.39–

Recent results

Cracovia Krakow – last 6

DLDWWW
9 Aug@ Slask Wroclaw0–0D
3 Augvs Pogon Szczecin0–2L
25 Jul@ Lech Poznan0–0D
19 Julvs Sevilla1–0W
9 Julvs Pardubice2–0W
6 Julvs Başakşehir3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Raków Częstochowa – last 6

WDLWLW
13 Aug@ Hammarby FF1–0W
6 Augvs Hammarby FF0–0D
2 Aug@ Slask Wroclaw1–2L
30 Jul@ Valletta FC4–0W
26 Julvs Wisla Plock1–2L
23 Julvs Valletta FC3–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Raków Częstochowa v Cracovia Krakow4–1
Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

On our numbers Cracovia Krakow have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raków Częstochowa 40%.

How many goals will there be in Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our predicted score is Cracovia Krakow 0–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?

Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.