Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogon Szczecin travel to face Jagiellonia on Sunday 16 August in the Ekstraklasa, with Chorten Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Pogon Szczecin are 4th (among the top four) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jagiellonia, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Motor Lublin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jagiellonia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Pogon Szczecin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.4 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 43%, draw 21%, Pogon Szczecin 36%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia43%fair 2.33 · @2.24
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Pogon Szczecin36%fair 2.76 · @2.84
2.60Expected goals
1.37Jagiellonia xG
1.23Pogon Szczecin xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.4 – 1.2 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win
43%
2.33
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Jagiellonia (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Pogon Szczecin +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.20
First team to score
Jagiellonia to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia – last 6
DLWWWW
13 Aug
@ Rangers
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Widzew Łódź
0–2
L
6 Aug
vs Rangers
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Korona Kielce
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ FC Nordsjaelland
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogon Szczecin – last 6
WWLLLW
8 Aug
vs Motor Lublin
3–1
W
3 Aug
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Legia Warszawa
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Sturm Graz
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Fenerbahçe
0–4
L
8 Jul
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Pogon Szczecin.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogon Szczecin 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin?
Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
