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Gornik Zabrze v Wisla Krakow: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
2–1
FT
Gornik Zabrze 45%Draw 21%Wisla Krakow 34% Expected goals 1.85 – 1.60
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Wisla Krakow to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.49

Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 16 August the Ekstraklasa brings Gornik Zabrze against Wisla Krakow at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Wisla Krakow are 5th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Gornik Zabrze, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ferencvarosi TC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Wisla Krakow, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wisla Plock, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gornik Zabrze 1.9 xG, Wisla Krakow 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gornik Zabrze 45%, draw 21%, Wisla Krakow 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Wisla Krakow to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Wisla Krakow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gornik Zabrze45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Wisla Krakow34%fair 2.92 · @3.15
3.45Expected goals
1.85Gornik Zabrze xG
1.60Wisla Krakow xG
67%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%

From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 1.9 – 1.6 Wisla Krakow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGornik Zabrze to win ✓45%2.232.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.60 ▲
Draw no betGornik Zabrze (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapWisla Krakow +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.651.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.15
First team to scoreGornik Zabrze to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze ✓27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.49–

Recent results

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

DWLDWL
13 Augvs Ferencvarosi TC1–1D
8 Aug@ Radomiak Radom3–1W
5 Aug@ Ferencvarosi TC0–1L
29 Julvs Fenerbahçe1–1D
25 Julvs Slask Wroclaw2–1W
21 Jul@ Fenerbahçe0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Wisla Krakow – last 6

WLWDLD
7 Augvs Wisla Plock2–1W
1 Aug@ Piast Gliwice3–4L
26 Julvs GKS Katowice2–1W
18 Julvs Artis2–2D
12 Julvs Podbeskidzie0–1L
11 Julvs Wrexham0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and Wisla Krakow.

Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?

On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wisla Krakow 34%.

How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?

Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Wisla Krakow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?

Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.