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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Motor Lublin v GKS Katowice: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Motor Lublin Arena
1–0
FT
Motor Lublin 34%Draw 20%GKS Katowice 45% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.81
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2

Value bet: GKS Katowice to win @ 2.42 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGKS Katowice to win ✗45% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

GKS Katowice travel to face Motor Lublin on Sunday 16 August in the Ekstraklasa, with Motor Lublin Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Motor Lublin are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; GKS Katowice are 8th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Motor Lublin, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pogon Szczecin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

GKS Katowice, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hapoel Tel Aviv, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended GKS Katowice 3–2 Motor Lublin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motor Lublin 1.5 xG, GKS Katowice 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motor Lublin 34%, draw 20%, GKS Katowice 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: GKS Katowice to win @2.42 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motor Lublin 1–1 GKS Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motor Lublin34%fair 2.90 · @2.58
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.75
GKS Katowice45%fair 2.20 · @2.42
3.35Expected goals
1.54Motor Lublin xG
1.81GKS Katowice xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%

From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.5 – 1.8 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGKS Katowice to win ✗45%2.202.42 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.48
Draw no betGKS Katowice (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapMotor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.211.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.601.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
First team to scoreGKS Katowice to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT GKS Katowice / FT GKS Katowice ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.32–

Recent results

Motor Lublin – last 6

LLDWWW
8 Aug@ Pogon Szczecin1–3L
31 Julvs Jagiellonia1–2L
26 Jul@ Widzew Łódź2–2D
17 Julvs Hapoel Katamon2–0W
11 Julvs Polonia Warszawa2–1W
3 Julvs Warta Poznań4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

GKS Katowice – last 6

WLWWLL
12 Augvs Hapoel Tel Aviv2–1W
6 Aug@ Hapoel Tel Aviv0–2L
2 Augvs Radomiak Radom3–1W
30 Julvs Žilina3–1W
26 Jul@ Wisla Krakow1–2L
23 Jul@ Žilina1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026GKS Katowice v Motor Lublin3–2
Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?

On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and GKS Katowice 45%.

How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?

Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.