Wisla Plock 14%Draw 21%Lech Poznan 64%Expected goals 0.50 – 1.50
86%
Betarazi pick
Lech Poznan or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Lech Poznan to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win64% · @1.75
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.13
Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa, played at Orlen Stadion. In the table, Wisla Plock are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Lech Poznan are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Wisla Plock, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wisla Krakow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lech Poznan, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over KI Klaksvik, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Lech Poznan 2–2 Wisla Plock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wisla Plock 0.5 xG, Lech Poznan 1.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wisla Plock 14%, draw 21%, Lech Poznan 64%.
Lower-risk option: Lech Poznan or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Lech Poznan to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Lech Poznan or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wisla Plock 0–1 Lech Poznan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wisla Plock14%fair 6.93 · @3.90
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
Lech Poznan64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
2.00Expected goals
0.50Wisla Plock xG
1.50Lech Poznan xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–215%
0–014%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Wisla Plock 0.5 – 1.5 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
Our pick is Lech Poznan or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
On our numbers Wisla Plock have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lech Poznan 64%.
How many goals will there be in Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
Our predicted score is Wisla Plock 0–1 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Orlen Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
