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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blumenau v São Luiz: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Blumenau

LDWWL
1–1
FTPens 1–3

São Luiz

DWDDW
Blumenau 50%Draw 27%São Luiz 22% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.83
78%
Betarazi pick

Blumenau or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBlumenau to win ✗50% · @1.85
Double chanceBlumenau or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Blumenau vs São Luiz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 27 June the Serie D brings Blumenau against São Luiz. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Blumenau, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Caravaggio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

São Luiz, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Blumenau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended São Luiz 1–1 Blumenau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blumenau 1.3 xG, São Luiz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blumenau 50%, draw 27%, São Luiz 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Blumenau or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Blumenau or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blumenau 1–0 São Luiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blumenau50%fair 1.98 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.88
São Luiz22%fair 4.46 · @4.00
2.18Expected goals
1.35Blumenau xG
0.83São Luiz xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Blumenau 1.3 – 0.8 São Luiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlumenau to win ✗50%1.981.85
Double chanceBlumenau or draw ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.00 ▲
Draw no betBlumenau (draw no bet)69%1.44–
Asian handicapSão Luiz +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreBlumenau to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blumenau / FT Blumenau ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Blumenau – last 6

LDWWLW
24 Junvs Caravaggio1–2L
20 Jun@ São Luiz1–1D
17 Jun@ Tubarao3–2W
10 Junvs Jaraguá6–0W
7 Junvs Sao Jose0–1L
3 Jun@ Nação6–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

São Luiz – last 6

DWDDWL
20 Junvs Blumenau1–1D
7 Junvs Joinville3–1W
31 May@ Cascavel0–0D
7 Mar@ Novo Hamburgo1–1D
2 Marvs Novo Hamburgo1–0W
25 Febvs Maranhão0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026São Luiz v Blumenau1–1
Blumenau vs São Luiz head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 139%2.15X29%2.70232%3.40 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 137%2.00X27%2.80235%3.75 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✗
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 153%1.73X28%3.00219%4.75 1.4–0.8xG 1Maracanã to win 53%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 139%2.50X26%2.88235%2.62 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 149%1.85X27%2.88224%4.20 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 153%1.80X24%3.10222%4.00 1.8–1.1xG 1XIguatu or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 161%1.25X24%4.50214%11.00 1.4–0.7xG 1Portuguesa to win 61%@1.25 ✓
FT Piauí1 Maguary PE0 135%2.90X29%2.75236%2.40 1.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.95 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blumenau vs São Luiz?

Our pick is Blumenau or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Blumenau vs São Luiz?

On our numbers Blumenau have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and São Luiz 22%.

How many goals will there be in Blumenau vs São Luiz?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blumenau vs São Luiz?

Our predicted score is Blumenau 1–0 São Luiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Blumenau vs São Luiz?

Blumenau vs São Luiz (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.