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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ipatinga v Vitória ES: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Ipatinga

DLLLW
2–0
FT

Vitória ES

DWDDL
Ipatinga 37%Draw 27%Vitória ES 35% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.25
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.05Odds
2

Value bet: Vitória ES to win @ 3.75 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIpatinga to win ✓37% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.83

Ipatinga vs Vitória ES: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitória ES travel to face Ipatinga on Saturday 27 June in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Ipatinga, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valeriodoce, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Vitória ES, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vilavelhense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Vitória ES 1–0 Ipatinga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ipatinga 1.1 xG, Vitória ES 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ipatinga 37%, draw 27%, Vitória ES 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Vitória ES to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ipatinga 1–1 Vitória ES. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ipatinga37%fair 2.69 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.80
Vitória ES35%fair 2.83 · @3.75
2.36Expected goals
1.10Ipatinga xG
1.25Vitória ES xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Ipatinga 1.1 – 1.3 Vitória ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIpatinga to win ✓37%2.692.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.05
Draw no betIpatinga (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapIpatinga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreVitória ES to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.83–

Recent results

Ipatinga – last 6

DLLLWL
24 Jun@ Valeriodoce1–1D
20 Junvs Valeriodoce0–1L
20 Jun@ Vitória ES0–1L
17 Junvs Villa Nova0–1L
14 Junvs Operario Ferroviario2–1W
12 Jun@ Aymorés0–4L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vitória ES – last 6

DWDDLL
23 Junvs Vilavelhense0–0D
20 Junvs Ipatinga1–0W
17 Jun@ Vilavelhense2–2D
14 Jun@ Tombense0–0D
6 Junvs Rio Branco-VN0–1L
3 Jun@ Vilavelhense0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Vitória ES v Ipatinga1–0
Ipatinga vs Vitória ES head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 150%1.85X27%2.88222%4.00 1.3–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 139%2.15X29%2.70232%3.40 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✓
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 153%1.73X28%3.00219%4.75 1.4–0.8xG 1Maracanã to win 53%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 139%2.50X26%2.88235%2.62 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 149%1.85X27%2.88224%4.20 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 153%1.80X24%3.10222%4.00 1.8–1.1xG 1XIguatu or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 161%1.25X24%4.50214%11.00 1.4–0.7xG 1Portuguesa to win 61%@1.25 ✓
FT Piauí1 Maguary PE0 135%2.90X29%2.75236%2.40 1.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.95 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

On our numbers Ipatinga have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vitória ES 35%.

How many goals will there be in Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

Our predicted score is Ipatinga 1–1 Vitória ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

Ipatinga vs Vitória ES (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.