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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portuguesa v Sampaio Corrêa RJ: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio do Caninde
1–0
FT
Portuguesa 61%Draw 24%Sampaio Corrêa RJ 14% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.70
61%
Betarazi pick

Portuguesa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPortuguesa to win ✓61% · @1.25
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.87

Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 27 June: Portuguesa v Sampaio Corrêa RJ in the Serie D, played at Estadio do Caninde.

Current form

Portuguesa, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sampaio Corrêa RJ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portuguesa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Portuguesa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–1 Portuguesa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portuguesa 1.4 xG, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portuguesa 61%, draw 24%, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Portuguesa to win (61%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portuguesa 1–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portuguesa61%fair 1.63 · @1.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @4.50
Sampaio Corrêa RJ14%fair 6.93 · @11.00
2.13Expected goals
1.43Portuguesa xG
0.70Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Portuguesa 1.4 – 0.7 Sampaio Corrêa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortuguesa to win ✓61%1.631.25
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓86%1.171.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.44
Draw no betPortuguesa (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapSampaio Corrêa RJ +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scorePortuguesa to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portuguesa / FT Portuguesa ✗33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.87–

Recent results

Portuguesa – last 6

DWWLWW
20 Jun@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–1D
6 Junvs Portuguesa RJ2–0W
30 May@ Pouso Alegre2–1W
18 Marvs Paysandu2–3L
27 Febvs Altos5–1W
16 Feb@ Mirassol2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6

DLWLLL
20 Junvs Portuguesa1–1D
7 Jun@ Noroeste0–1L
30 Mayvs Velo Clube1–0W
7 May@ Avai0–2L
30 Aprvs Operario-PR1–2L
16 Apr@ America Mineiro1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Sampaio Corrêa RJ v Portuguesa1–1
Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Our pick is Portuguesa to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

On our numbers Portuguesa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sampaio Corrêa RJ 14%.

How many goals will there be in Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Our predicted score is Portuguesa 1–0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Portuguesa vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.