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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Catarina v Sao Jose: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck

Santa Catarina

DWWLL
1–1
FTPens 2–4

Sao Jose

DWWDD
Santa Catarina 39%Draw 29%Sao Jose 32% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.03
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 2.10 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.10Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanta Catarina to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.69

Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 27 June the Serie D brings Santa Catarina against Sao Jose at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Santa Catarina, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sao Jose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Sao Jose, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Catarina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Sao Jose 1–1 Santa Catarina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Catarina 1.1 xG, Sao Jose 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Catarina 39%, draw 29%, Sao Jose 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Catarina 1–1 Sao Jose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Catarina39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @2.70
Sao Jose32%fair 3.16 · @3.40
2.12Expected goals
1.08Santa Catarina xG
1.03Sao Jose xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Santa Catarina 1.1 – 1.0 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Catarina to win ✗39%2.562.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.421.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.922.10 ▲
Draw no betSanta Catarina (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapSao Jose +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreSanta Catarina to score first45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.69–

Recent results

Santa Catarina – last 6

DWWLLW
21 Jun@ Sao Jose1–1D
7 Junvs Cascavel1–0W
31 May@ Cianorte3–1W
5 Apr@ Cascavel0–1L
12 Marvs Jacuipense0–1L
19 Febvs IAPE2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sao Jose – last 6

DWWDDL
21 Junvs Santa Catarina1–1D
7 Jun@ Blumenau1–0W
31 Mayvs Independiente FSJ1–0W
24 Mayvs Marcílio Dias1–1D
17 May@ Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
23 Febvs Novo Hamburgo1–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Sao Jose v Santa Catarina1–1
Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 150%1.85X27%2.88222%4.00 1.3–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 137%2.00X27%2.80235%3.75 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✗
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 153%1.73X28%3.00219%4.75 1.4–0.8xG 1Maracanã to win 53%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 139%2.50X26%2.88235%2.62 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 149%1.85X27%2.88224%4.20 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 153%1.80X24%3.10222%4.00 1.8–1.1xG 1XIguatu or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 161%1.25X24%4.50214%11.00 1.4–0.7xG 1Portuguesa to win 61%@1.25 ✓
FT Piauí1 Maguary PE0 135%2.90X29%2.75236%2.40 1.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.95 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose?

On our numbers Santa Catarina have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sao Jose 32%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose?

Our predicted score is Santa Catarina 1–1 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose?

Santa Catarina vs Sao Jose (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.