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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Iguatu v Tuna Luso: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello

Iguatu

WWD
1–1
FT

Tuna Luso

LLWDW
Iguatu 53%Draw 24%Tuna Luso 22% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.08
78%
Betarazi pick

Iguatu or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultIguatu to win ✗53% · @1.80
Double chanceIguatu or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Iguatu vs Tuna Luso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 27 June the Serie D brings Iguatu against Tuna Luso at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Iguatu, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tuna Luso, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Tuna Luso, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Iguatu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Iguatu, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Tuna Luso.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Tuna Luso 1–2 Iguatu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Iguatu 1.8 xG, Tuna Luso 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Iguatu 53%, draw 24%, Tuna Luso 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Iguatu or draw (78%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Iguatu or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iguatu 1–1 Tuna Luso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Iguatu53%fair 1.87 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Tuna Luso22%fair 4.53 · @4.00
2.88Expected goals
1.80Iguatu xG
1.08Tuna Luso xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%

From our goals model: Iguatu 1.8 – 1.1 Tuna Luso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIguatu to win ✗53%1.871.80
Double chanceIguatu or draw ✓78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.91 ▲
Draw no betIguatu (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapTuna Luso +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreIguatu to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultIguatu ahead at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Iguatu / FT Iguatu ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Iguatu – last 3

WWD
21 Jun@ Tuna Luso2–1W
7 Jun@ Sampaio Correa1–0W
30 Mayvs Parnahyba2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tuna Luso – last 6

LLWDWD
21 Junvs Iguatu1–2L
6 Jun@ Imperatriz0–4L
31 Mayvs Trem1–0W
24 May@ Oratório3–3D
17 Mayvs Águia de Marabá2–1W
5 Aprvs Imperatriz0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Tuna Luso v Iguatu1–2
Iguatu vs Tuna Luso head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 150%1.85X27%2.88222%4.00 1.3–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 139%2.15X29%2.70232%3.40 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 137%2.00X27%2.80235%3.75 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✗
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 153%1.73X28%3.00219%4.75 1.4–0.8xG 1Maracanã to win 53%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 139%2.50X26%2.88235%2.62 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 149%1.85X27%2.88224%4.20 1.4–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 161%1.25X24%4.50214%11.00 1.4–0.7xG 1Portuguesa to win 61%@1.25 ✓
FT Piauí1 Maguary PE0 135%2.90X29%2.75236%2.40 1.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.95 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?

Our pick is Iguatu or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?

On our numbers Iguatu have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tuna Luso 22%.

How many goals will there be in Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?

Our predicted score is Iguatu 1–1 Tuna Luso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?

Iguatu vs Tuna Luso (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.