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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marcílio Dias v Cascavel: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Marcílio Dias

DDDDW
2–1
FT

Cascavel

DLDWL
Marcílio Dias 46%Draw 27%Cascavel 27% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.89
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarcílio Dias to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceMarcílio Dias or draw ✓73% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84

Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Marcílio Dias v Cascavel in the Serie D.

Current form

Marcílio Dias, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cascavel, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cascavel, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Marcílio Dias, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Cascavel 2–2 Marcílio Dias.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marcílio Dias 1.3 xG, Cascavel 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marcílio Dias 46%, draw 27%, Cascavel 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Marcílio Dias or draw (73%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marcílio Dias 1–0 Cascavel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marcílio Dias46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.75
Cascavel27%fair 3.72 · @4.00
2.18Expected goals
1.30Marcílio Dias xG
0.89Cascavel xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 1.3 – 0.9 Cascavel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarcílio Dias to win ✓46%2.182.00
Double chanceMarcílio Dias or draw ✓73%1.371.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.44
Draw no betMarcílio Dias (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapCascavel +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.671.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.501.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.02
First team to scoreMarcílio Dias to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marcílio Dias / FT Marcílio Dias ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.84–

Recent results

Marcílio Dias – last 6

DDDDWL
21 Jun@ Cascavel2–2D
7 Jun@ Independiente FSJ0–0D
24 May@ Sao Jose1–1D
5 Aprvs Independiente FSJ0–0D
7 Marvs Joinville2–0W
26 Feb@ Carlos Renaux1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cascavel – last 6

DLDWLW
21 Junvs Marcílio Dias2–2D
7 Jun@ Santa Catarina0–1L
31 Mayvs São Luiz0–0D
24 May@ Guarany de Bagé4–0W
17 May@ Cianorte0–1L
5 Aprvs Santa Catarina1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Cascavel v Marcílio Dias2–2
Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Juazeirense0 Serra Branca1 136%2.35X29%2.75235%3.10 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Cianorte0 Independiente FSJ1 Pens 5–4 153%1.62X28%3.00219%5.80 1.1–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.44 ✓
FT Noroeste1 Portuguesa RJ3 150%1.95X28%2.90222%3.90 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT ABC1 Altos1 161%1.50X24%3.60215%5.50 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Manauara1 Independência1 167%1.15X20%5.50213%19.00 1.6–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.30 ✓
FT Ferroviario2 Central SC0 146%1.95X29%2.80225%3.90 1.2–1.0xG 1XFerroviario or draw 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Nacional AM0 Araguaína0 154%1.50X25%3.40221%6.00 1.6–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Porto Velho1 Sao Raimundo1 Pens 151%1.70X26%3.25223%4.75 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?

On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cascavel 27%.

How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?

Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 1–0 Cascavel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?

Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.