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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juazeirense v Serra Branca: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Juazeirense

LWDDL
0–1
FT

Serra Branca

WDDWD
Juazeirense 36%Draw 29%Serra Branca 35% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.09
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: Serra Branca to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJuazeirense to win ✗36% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11

Juazeirense vs Serra Branca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Juazeirense v Serra Branca in the Serie D.

Current form

Juazeirense, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Serra Branca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Serra Branca, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juazeirense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Serra Branca, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Juazeirense.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Serra Branca 2–0 Juazeirense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juazeirense 1.0 xG, Serra Branca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juazeirense 36%, draw 29%, Serra Branca 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Serra Branca to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juazeirense 1–1 Serra Branca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juazeirense36%fair 2.80 · @2.35
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.75
Serra Branca35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
2.13Expected goals
1.04Juazeirense xG
1.09Serra Branca xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%

From our goals model: Juazeirense 1.0 – 1.1 Serra Branca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuazeirense to win ✗36%2.802.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.50
Draw no betJuazeirense (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapJuazeirense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.661.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.501.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.03
First team to scoreSerra Branca to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Serra Branca / FT Serra Branca ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.11–

Recent results

Juazeirense – last 6

LWDDLD
21 Jun@ Serra Branca0–2L
14 Jun@ CSE1–0W
31 Mayvs Atlético Alagoinhas0–0D
24 May@ Jacuipense2–2D
6 May@ ABC0–4L
30 Aprvs ASA1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Serra Branca – last 6

WDDWDL
21 Junvs Juazeirense2–0W
14 Jun@ Sergipe1–1D
31 Mayvs Retrô0–0D
24 May@ Decisão1–0W
22 Feb@ Botafogo PB1–1D
18 Feb@ Porto BA1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Serra Branca v Juazeirense2–0
Juazeirense vs Serra Branca head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Cianorte0 Independiente FSJ1 Pens 5–4 153%1.62X28%3.00219%5.80 1.1–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.44 ✓
FT Marcílio Dias2 Cascavel1 146%2.00X27%2.75227%4.00 1.3–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.33 ✗
FT Noroeste1 Portuguesa RJ3 150%1.95X28%2.90222%3.90 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT ABC1 Altos1 161%1.50X24%3.60215%5.50 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Manauara1 Independência1 167%1.15X20%5.50213%19.00 1.6–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.30 ✓
FT Ferroviario2 Central SC0 146%1.95X29%2.80225%3.90 1.2–1.0xG 1XFerroviario or draw 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Nacional AM0 Araguaína0 154%1.50X25%3.40221%6.00 1.6–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Porto Velho1 Sao Raimundo1 Pens 151%1.70X26%3.25223%4.75 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juazeirense vs Serra Branca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Juazeirense vs Serra Branca?

On our numbers Juazeirense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Serra Branca 35%.

How many goals will there be in Juazeirense vs Serra Branca?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juazeirense vs Serra Branca?

Our predicted score is Juazeirense 1–1 Serra Branca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Juazeirense vs Serra Branca?

Juazeirense vs Serra Branca (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.