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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Manauara v Independência: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Manauara

WWWDW
1–1
FT

Independência

LDWWW
Manauara 67%Draw 20%Independência 13% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.72
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 2.30 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultManauara to win ✗67% · @1.15
Double chanceManauara or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96

Manauara vs Independência: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 28 June the Serie D brings Manauara against Independência. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT.

Current form

Manauara, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Independência, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Independência, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Manauara, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Independência 0–2 Manauara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manauara 1.6 xG, Independência 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Manauara 67%, draw 20%, Independência 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manauara 1–1 Independência. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manauara67%fair 1.49 · @1.15
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.50
Independência13%fair 7.97 · @19.00
2.35Expected goals
1.64Manauara xG
0.72Independência xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Manauara 1.6 – 0.7 Independência expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManauara to win ✗67%1.491.15
Double chanceManauara or draw ✓87%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.30 ▲
Draw no betManauara (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapIndependência +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreManauara to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manauara / FT Manauara ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.96–

Recent results

Manauara – last 6

WWWDWL
21 Jun@ Independência2–0W
14 Junvs Sao Raimundo1–0W
31 May@ Monte Roraima1–0W
24 Mayvs Manaus FC1–1D
5 May@ GAS2–1W
11 Marvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Independência – last 6

LDWWWW
21 Junvs Manauara0–2L
14 Junvs Guaporé2–2D
31 May@ Humaitá4–0W
24 Mayvs Galvez3–1W
17 Mayvs Araguaína1–0W
29 Aprvs GAS3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Independência v Manauara0–2
Manauara vs Independência head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Juazeirense0 Serra Branca1 136%2.35X29%2.75235%3.10 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Cianorte0 Independiente FSJ1 Pens 5–4 153%1.62X28%3.00219%5.80 1.1–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.44 ✓
FT Marcílio Dias2 Cascavel1 146%2.00X27%2.75227%4.00 1.3–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.33 ✗
FT Noroeste1 Portuguesa RJ3 150%1.95X28%2.90222%3.90 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT ABC1 Altos1 161%1.50X24%3.60215%5.50 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Ferroviario2 Central SC0 146%1.95X29%2.80225%3.90 1.2–1.0xG 1XFerroviario or draw 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Nacional AM0 Araguaína0 154%1.50X25%3.40221%6.00 1.6–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Porto Velho1 Sao Raimundo1 Pens 151%1.70X26%3.25223%4.75 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manauara vs Independência?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.

Who will win Manauara vs Independência?

On our numbers Manauara have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Independência 13%.

How many goals will there be in Manauara vs Independência?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manauara vs Independência?

Our predicted score is Manauara 1–1 Independência, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Manauara vs Independência?

Manauara vs Independência (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.