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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Noroeste v Portuguesa RJ: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Alfredo de Castilho

Noroeste

DWDD
1–3
FT

Portuguesa RJ

DLDDL
Noroeste 50%Draw 28%Portuguesa RJ 22% Expected goals 1.37 – 0.91
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNoroeste to win ✗50% · @1.95
Double chanceNoroeste or draw ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Noroeste welcome Portuguesa RJ to Estadio Alfredo de Castilho for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 28 June (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Noroeste, last 4: DWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portuguesa RJ, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Portuguesa RJ, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Noroeste, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Noroeste, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Portuguesa RJ.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Portuguesa RJ 1–1 Noroeste.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Noroeste 1.4 xG, Portuguesa RJ 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Noroeste 50%, draw 28%, Portuguesa RJ 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Noroeste or draw (78%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Noroeste 1–1 Portuguesa RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Noroeste50%fair 2.00 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.90
Portuguesa RJ22%fair 4.61 · @3.90
2.29Expected goals
1.37Noroeste xG
0.91Portuguesa RJ xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Noroeste 1.4 – 0.9 Portuguesa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNoroeste to win ✗50%2.001.95
Double chanceNoroeste or draw ✗78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.992.20 ▲
Draw no betNoroeste (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapPortuguesa RJ +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.05
First team to scoreNoroeste to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Noroeste / FT Noroeste ✗28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.43–

Recent results

Noroeste – last 4

DWDD
21 Jun@ Portuguesa RJ1–1D
7 Junvs Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–0W
30 May@ XV de Piracicaba1–1D
16 Feb@ Primavera SP3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Portuguesa RJ – last 6

DLDDLW
21 Junvs Noroeste1–1D
6 Jun@ Portuguesa0–2L
30 Mayvs América RJ2–2D
18 Aprvs Madureira0–0D
12 Mar@ Paysandu1–3L
5 Marvs Maracanã1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Portuguesa RJ v Noroeste1–1
Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Juazeirense0 Serra Branca1 136%2.35X29%2.75235%3.10 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Cianorte0 Independiente FSJ1 Pens 5–4 153%1.62X28%3.00219%5.80 1.1–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.44 ✓
FT Marcílio Dias2 Cascavel1 146%2.00X27%2.75227%4.00 1.3–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.33 ✗
FT ABC1 Altos1 161%1.50X24%3.60215%5.50 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Manauara1 Independência1 167%1.15X20%5.50213%19.00 1.6–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.30 ✓
FT Ferroviario2 Central SC0 146%1.95X29%2.80225%3.90 1.2–1.0xG 1XFerroviario or draw 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Nacional AM0 Araguaína0 154%1.50X25%3.40221%6.00 1.6–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Porto Velho1 Sao Raimundo1 Pens 151%1.70X26%3.25223%4.75 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ?

On our numbers Noroeste have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Portuguesa RJ 22%.

How many goals will there be in Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ?

Our predicted score is Noroeste 1–1 Portuguesa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ?

Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo de Castilho.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.