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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferroviario v Central SC: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Presidente Vargas

Ferroviario

DWDWD
2–0
FT

Central SC

DWLDD
Ferroviario 46%Draw 29%Central SC 25% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.96
75%
Betarazi pick

Ferroviario or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFerroviario to win ✓46% · @1.95
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38

Ferroviario vs Central SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ferroviario welcome Central SC to Estadio Presidente Vargas for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 28 June (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Ferroviario, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Central SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Central SC, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ferroviario, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Central SC 1–1 Ferroviario.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviario 1.2 xG, Central SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviario 46%, draw 29%, Central SC 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ferroviario or draw (75%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ferroviario or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviario 1–0 Central SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferroviario46%fair 2.17 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @2.80
Central SC25%fair 3.92 · @3.90
2.18Expected goals
1.22Ferroviario xG
0.96Central SC xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Ferroviario 1.2 – 1.0 Central SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerroviario to win ✓46%2.171.95
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓75%1.341.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betFerroviario (draw no bet) ✓64%1.55–
Asian handicapCentral SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreFerroviario to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ferroviario / FT Ferroviario ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

Ferroviario – last 6

DWDWDL
21 Jun@ Central SC1–1D
13 Junvs Fluminense PI1–0W
1 Jun@ TirolCEFAT0–0D
17 Mayvs Uniclinic Atletico Clube2–0W
11 May@ Piauí1–1D
30 Apr@ ABC1–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Central SC – last 5

DWLDD
21 Junvs Ferroviario1–1D
14 Junvs Laguna2–1W
29 May@ America-RN0–1L
17 Mayvs Maguary PE0–0D
5 Apr@ Laguna1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Central SC v Ferroviario1–1
Ferroviario vs Central SC head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Juazeirense0 Serra Branca1 136%2.35X29%2.75235%3.10 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Cianorte0 Independiente FSJ1 Pens 5–4 153%1.62X28%3.00219%5.80 1.1–0.6xG NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.44 ✓
FT Marcílio Dias2 Cascavel1 146%2.00X27%2.75227%4.00 1.3–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.33 ✗
FT Noroeste1 Portuguesa RJ3 150%1.95X28%2.90222%3.90 1.4–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT ABC1 Altos1 161%1.50X24%3.60215%5.50 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Manauara1 Independência1 167%1.15X20%5.50213%19.00 1.6–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.30 ✓
FT Nacional AM0 Araguaína0 154%1.50X25%3.40221%6.00 1.6–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT Porto Velho1 Sao Raimundo1 Pens 151%1.70X26%3.25223%4.75 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferroviario vs Central SC?

Our pick is Ferroviario or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ferroviario vs Central SC?

On our numbers Ferroviario have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Central SC 25%.

How many goals will there be in Ferroviario vs Central SC?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferroviario vs Central SC?

Our predicted score is Ferroviario 1–0 Central SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ferroviario vs Central SC?

Ferroviario vs Central SC (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Presidente Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.