Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win ✗58% · @1.48
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Thursday 16 July: Mornar v Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Gradski Stadion.
Current form
Mornar, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mornar, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2–1 Mornar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 1.8 xG, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 58%, draw 23%, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mornar58%fair 1.71 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.70
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes18%fair 5.49 · @6.25
2.75Expected goals
1.76Mornar xG
0.99Atlètic Club d'Escaldes xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.8 – 1.0 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
On our numbers Mornar have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes?
Mornar vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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