Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Astana to win ✗56% · @1.45
Double chanceFC Astana or draw ✗80% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Astana welcome Dinamo Tirana to Astana Arena for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 16 July (16:00 WAT).
Current form
FC Astana, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Aktobe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dinamo Tirana, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Astana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Astana, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Dinamo Tirana.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Dinamo Tirana 0–1 FC Astana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Astana 1.3 xG, Dinamo Tirana 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Astana 56%, draw 24%, Dinamo Tirana 20%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Astana 1–0 Dinamo Tirana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Astana56%fair 1.79 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @4.10
Dinamo Tirana20%fair 4.92 · @5.80
2.14Expected goals
1.34FC Astana xG
0.81Dinamo Tirana xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: FC Astana 1.3 – 0.8 Dinamo Tirana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
On our numbers FC Astana have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dinamo Tirana 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
Our predicted score is FC Astana 1–0 Dinamo Tirana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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