Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✗49% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yelimay Semey welcome Alashkert to Spartak Stadium for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 16 July (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Yelimay Semey, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alashkert, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alashkert, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Yelimay Semey, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Alashkert, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Yelimay Semey.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Alashkert 1–1 Yelimay Semey.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yelimay Semey 1.3 xG, Alashkert 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yelimay Semey 49%, draw 24%, Alashkert 27%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yelimay Semey 1–1 Alashkert. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yelimay Semey49%fair 2.05 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.55
Alashkert27%fair 3.67 · @6.20
2.56Expected goals
1.31Yelimay Semey xG
1.25Alashkert xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Yelimay Semey 1.3 – 1.3 Alashkert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert?
On our numbers Yelimay Semey have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alashkert 27%.
How many goals will there be in Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert?
Our predicted score is Yelimay Semey 1–1 Alashkert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert?
Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Astana1
Dinamo Tirana2
Inter Turku2
FK Sarajevo1
Ilves3
FC Differdange 031
Paide3
Hegelmann Litauen0
Pyunik Yerevan1
Marsaxlokk0
St Joseph S Fc0
Bohemians0
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Zira3
FC Levadia Tallinn5
Caernarfon Town0