Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓74% · @1.25
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.16
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Levadia Tallinn welcome Caernarfon Town to A. Le Coq Arena for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 16 July (17:30 WAT).
Current form
FC Levadia Tallinn, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Caernarfon Town, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Caernarfon Town, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Levadia Tallinn, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Caernarfon Town.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Caernarfon Town 0–5 FC Levadia Tallinn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Levadia Tallinn 3.1 xG, Caernarfon Town 1.1 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Levadia Tallinn 74%, draw 17%, Caernarfon Town 9%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Levadia Tallinn to win (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Levadia Tallinn 3–1 Caernarfon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Levadia Tallinn74%fair 1.35 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @5.10
Caernarfon Town9%fair 10.60 · @8.75
4.13Expected goals
3.07FC Levadia Tallinn xG
1.06Caernarfon Town xG
61%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–08%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 3.1 – 1.1 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is FC Levadia Tallinn to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Caernarfon Town 9%.
How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 3–1 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town?
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Astana1
Dinamo Tirana2
Inter Turku2
FK Sarajevo1
Yelimay Semey1
Alashkert1
Ilves3
FC Differdange 031
Paide3
Hegelmann Litauen0
Pyunik Yerevan1
Marsaxlokk0
St Joseph S Fc0
Bohemians0
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Zira3