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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilves v FC Differdange 03: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Tammela Stadium

Ilves

DLLDL
3–1
FT

FC Differdange 03

DWWLW
Ilves 52%Draw 24%FC Differdange 03 24% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.28
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlves to win ✓52% · @1.48
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓76% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29

Ilves vs FC Differdange 03: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 16 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Ilves against FC Differdange 03 at Tammela Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Ilves, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Differdange 03, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

FC Differdange 03, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ilves, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Differdange 03, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Ilves.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Jul 2026) it ended FC Differdange 03 0–0 Ilves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.5 xG, FC Differdange 03 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 52%, draw 24%, FC Differdange 03 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–1 FC Differdange 03. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilves52%fair 1.94 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.90
FC Differdange 0324%fair 4.16 · @6.20
2.75Expected goals
1.47Ilves xG
1.28FC Differdange 03 xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Ilves 1.5 – 1.3 FC Differdange 03 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win ✓52%1.941.48
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓76%1.321.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.75
Draw no betIlves (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapFC Differdange 03 +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreIlves to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.29–

Recent results

Ilves – last 6

DLLDLW
8 Jul@ FC Differdange 030–0D
4 Jul@ FF Jaro1–2L
1 Jul@ HJK Helsinki1–2L
27 Junvs SJK2–2D
23 Jun@ KuPS3–4L
17 Junvs FF Jaro5–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Differdange 03 – last 6

DWWLWW
8 Julvs Ilves0–0D
4 Jul@ Metz2–1W
29 Mayvs Victoria Rosport4–1W
23 May@ Atert Bissen0–1L
17 Mayvs UN Kaerjeng 972–0W
8 May@ Progres Niederkorn3–2W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Jul 2026FC Differdange 03 v Ilves0–0
Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT FC Astana1 Dinamo Tirana2 AET 1–4 156%1.45X24%4.10220%5.80 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.36 ✓
FT Inter Turku2 FK Sarajevo1 149%1.95X27%3.40224%3.35 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.35 ✓
FT Yelimay Semey1 Alashkert1 Pens 5–6 149%1.53X24%3.55227%6.20 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Paide3 Hegelmann Litauen0 166%1.70X21%3.50214%4.33 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan1 Marsaxlokk0 171%1.22X19%5.40210%10.25 2.3–0.8xG 1Pyunik Yerevan to win 71%@1.22 ✓
FT St Joseph S Fc0 Bohemians0 131%5.00X22%4.10247%1.53 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Torpedo Kutaisi0 Zira3 128%3.00X35%3.35237%2.15 1.4–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT FC Levadia Tallinn5 Caernarfon Town0 174%1.25X17%5.1029%8.75 3.1–1.1xG 1FC Levadia Tallinn to win 74%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs FC Differdange 03?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Ilves vs FC Differdange 03?

On our numbers Ilves have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Differdange 03 24%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs FC Differdange 03?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs FC Differdange 03?

Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 FC Differdange 03, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs FC Differdange 03?

Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.