Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.12
Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 16 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Bate Borisov against AF Elbasani at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Bate Borisov, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AF Elbasani, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
AF Elbasani, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bate Borisov, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jul 2026) it ended AF Elbasani 1–1 Bate Borisov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 0.9 xG, AF Elbasani 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 30%, draw 28%, AF Elbasani 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 0–1 AF Elbasani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bate Borisov30%fair 3.32 · @3.25
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.30
AF Elbasani42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
2.07Expected goals
0.93Bate Borisov xG
1.14AF Elbasani xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 0.9 – 1.1 AF Elbasani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and AF Elbasani 42%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 AF Elbasani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani?
Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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