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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Santa Coloma v Penybont: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Estadi Nacional

FC Santa Coloma

WLLDW
3–0
FT

Penybont

LLLL
FC Santa Coloma 55%Draw 24%Penybont 21% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.85
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Santa Coloma to win ✓55% · @1.60
Double chanceFC Santa Coloma or draw ✓79% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Thursday 16 July: FC Santa Coloma v Penybont in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Estadi Nacional.

Current form

FC Santa Coloma, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Penybont, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Penybont, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Santa Coloma, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Santa Coloma, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Penybont.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Penybont 0–1 FC Santa Coloma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Santa Coloma 1.3 xG, Penybont 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Santa Coloma 55%, draw 24%, Penybont 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Santa Coloma 1–0 Penybont. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Santa Coloma55%fair 1.82 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Penybont21%fair 4.73 · @5.10
2.18Expected goals
1.34FC Santa Coloma xG
0.85Penybont xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%

From our goals model: FC Santa Coloma 1.3 – 0.8 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Santa Coloma to win ✓55%1.821.60
Double chanceFC Santa Coloma or draw ✓79%1.271.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.91
Draw no betFC Santa Coloma (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapPenybont +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreFC Santa Coloma to score first ✓54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Santa Coloma / FT FC Santa Coloma ✓28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

FC Santa Coloma – last 6

WLLDWW
9 Jul@ Penybont1–0W
23 Mayvs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2–3L
10 Mayvs Ordino0–1L
30 Aprvs UE Santa Coloma0–0D
19 Aprvs Esperança d'Andorra4–0W
13 Mar@ Ranger's1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Penybont – last 4

LLLL
9 Julvs FC Santa Coloma0–1L
3 Aprvs Barry Town0–2L
3 Mar@ Barry Town0–1L
21 Feb@ Colwyn Bay1–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026Penybont v FC Santa Coloma0–1
FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT Inter Turku2 FK Sarajevo1 149%1.95X27%3.40224%3.35 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.35 ✓
FT Yelimay Semey1 Alashkert1 Pens 5–6 149%1.53X24%3.55227%6.20 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Ilves3 FC Differdange 031 152%1.48X24%3.90224%6.20 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Paide3 Hegelmann Litauen0 166%1.70X21%3.50214%4.33 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan1 Marsaxlokk0 171%1.22X19%5.40210%10.25 2.3–0.8xG 1Pyunik Yerevan to win 71%@1.22 ✓
FT St Joseph S Fc0 Bohemians0 131%5.00X22%4.10247%1.53 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Torpedo Kutaisi0 Zira3 128%3.00X35%3.35237%2.15 1.4–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

On our numbers FC Santa Coloma have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Penybont 21%.

How many goals will there be in FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

Our predicted score is FC Santa Coloma 1–0 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont?

FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Nacional.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.