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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Linfield v Kalju Nomme: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Windsor Park
2–2
FT
Linfield 50%Draw 25%Kalju Nomme 25% Expected goals 1.12 – 0.89
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLinfield to win ✗50% · @1.50
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓75% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66

Linfield vs Kalju Nomme: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kalju Nomme travel to face Linfield on Thursday 16 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Windsor Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Linfield, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Aberdeen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Kalju Nomme, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Linfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kalju Nomme, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Linfield.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Kalju Nomme 1–0 Linfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 1.1 xG, Kalju Nomme 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 50%, draw 25%, Kalju Nomme 25%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 1–0 Kalju Nomme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Linfield50%fair 1.99 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Kalju Nomme25%fair 4.02 · @6.20
2.01Expected goals
1.12Linfield xG
0.89Kalju Nomme xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Linfield 1.1 – 0.9 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLinfield to win ✗50%1.991.50
Double chanceLinfield or draw ✓75%1.331.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.57
Draw no betLinfield (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapKalju Nomme +1 (Asian handicap) ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.241.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreLinfield to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Linfield / FT Linfield ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.66–

Recent results

Linfield – last 6

LLLWWL
11 Julvs Aberdeen0–2L
9 Jul@ Kalju Nomme0–1L
4 Julvs Kilmarnock2–3L
12 Mayvs Dungannon Swifts3–1W
7 Apr@ Dungannon Swifts3–1W
20 Mar@ Carrick Rangers0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kalju Nomme – last 6

WWDDLD
9 Julvs Linfield1–0W
3 Jul@ Nõmme United3–1W
28 Junvs Paide1–1D
20 Jun@ FC Levadia Tallinn1–1D
17 Junvs Tammeka1–2L
14 Junvs Paide1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026Kalju Nomme v Linfield1–0
Linfield vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

On our numbers Linfield have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kalju Nomme 25%.

How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

Our predicted score is Linfield 1–0 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

Linfield vs Kalju Nomme (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.