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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AEK Larnaca v Beitar Jerusalem: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · AEK Arena

AEK Larnaca

DLLWW
0–1
FT

Beitar Jerusalem

DDDDD
AEK Larnaca 52%Draw 25%Beitar Jerusalem 23% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.01
77%
Betarazi pick

AEK Larnaca or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✗52% · @1.88
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 23 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings AEK Larnaca against Beitar Jerusalem at AEK Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.

Current form

AEK Larnaca, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Apollon Limassol, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Beitar Jerusalem, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hapoel Tel Aviv, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 1.6 xG, Beitar Jerusalem 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 52%, draw 25%, Beitar Jerusalem 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: AEK Larnaca or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AEK Larnaca or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AEK Larnaca52%fair 1.91 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Beitar Jerusalem23%fair 4.31 · @3.80
2.59Expected goals
1.58AEK Larnaca xG
1.01Beitar Jerusalem xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.6 – 1.0 Beitar Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAEK Larnaca to win ✗52%1.911.88
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✗77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.80
Draw no betAEK Larnaca (draw no bet) ✗69%1.44–
Asian handicapBeitar Jerusalem +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreAEK Larnaca to score first ✗57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca ✗31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

AEK Larnaca – last 6

DLLWWW
16 Jul@ Apollon Limassol0–0D
10 Jul@ Ajax0–1L
7 Jul@ PAOK2–3L
4 Jul@ Helmond Sport2–1W
22 May@ Aris4–3W
6 Mayvs Apollon Limassol1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Beitar Jerusalem – last 6

DDDDDW
18 Julvs Hapoel Tel Aviv2–2D
7 Jul@ Arda Kardzhali0–0D
3 Jul@ Botev Vratsa2–2D
19 May@ Hapoel Petah Tikva0–0D
12 Mayvs Hapoel Beer Sheva1–1D
6 May@ Hapoel Tel Aviv1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Beitar Jerusalem.

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Malisheva2 Hibernian0 124%5.60X25%4.00251%1.51 1.4–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja0 Austria Vienna2 116%8.00X23%4.20261%1.37 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 CFR 1907 Cluj1 131%3.65X36%3.20233%1.98 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Panevėžys1 FK Tobol Kostanay1 130%3.30X36%3.25234%2.10 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT HJK Helsinki5 Coleraine FC0 164%1.36X21%4.45215%7.70 2.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Flora Tallinn1 The New Saints0 129%2.26X34%3.50238%2.78 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✗
FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 149%1.78X25%3.40226%4.20 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 121%3.95X24%3.30255%1.88 1.0–1.7xG X2Apollon Limassol or draw 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Our pick is AEK Larnaca or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?

On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beitar Jerusalem 23%.

How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.