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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HJK Helsinki v Coleraine FC: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki

WLWLW
5–0
FT

Coleraine FC

WWWWD
HJK Helsinki 64%Draw 21%Coleraine FC 15% Expected goals 2.36 – 1.21
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceHJK Helsinki or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 23 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings HJK Helsinki against Coleraine FC at Bolt Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

HJK Helsinki, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over VPS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Coleraine FC, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Portadown, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours Coleraine FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for HJK Helsinki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HJK Helsinki 2.4 xG, Coleraine FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HJK Helsinki 64%, draw 21%, Coleraine FC 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: HJK Helsinki 2–1 Coleraine FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HJK Helsinki64%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @4.45
Coleraine FC15%fair 6.59 · @7.70
3.57Expected goals
2.36HJK Helsinki xG
1.21Coleraine FC xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 2.4 – 1.2 Coleraine FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHJK Helsinki to win ✓64%1.551.36
Double chanceHJK Helsinki or draw ✓85%1.181.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.80 ▲
Draw no betHJK Helsinki (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapHJK Helsinki -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.741.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.351.22
First team to scoreHJK Helsinki to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultHJK Helsinki ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

HJK Helsinki – last 6

WLWLWD
18 Julvs VPS2–1W
11 Jul@ Lahti0–2L
1 Julvs Ilves2–1W
27 Junvs KuPS0–4L
23 Jun@ Mariehamn4–0W
17 Junvs Inter Turku3–3D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Coleraine FC – last 6

WWWWDW
18 Julvs Portadown3–0W
14 Jul@ Sligo Rovers2–1W
11 Jul@ Newbuildings United5–2W
7 Jul@ Limavady United1–0W
4 Julvs H&W Welders1–1D
7 Apr@ Larne4–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between HJK Helsinki and Coleraine FC.

HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 149%1.78X25%3.40226%4.20 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 121%3.95X24%3.30255%1.88 1.0–1.7xG X2Apollon Limassol or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Paide1 Zira0 126%7.80X23%4.90251%1.32 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?

On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Coleraine FC 15%.

How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?

Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 2–1 Coleraine FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?

HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.