Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAustria Vienna to win ✓61% · @1.37
Double chanceAustria Vienna or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Thursday 23 July: FK Liepaja v Austria Vienna in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Slokas Stadions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dečić, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Austria Vienna, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Paks, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 0.9 xG, Austria Vienna 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 16%, draw 23%, Austria Vienna 61%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–1 Austria Vienna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja16%fair 6.30 · @8.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.20
Austria Vienna61%fair 1.63 · @1.37
2.59Expected goals
0.89FK Liepaja xG
1.69Austria Vienna xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 0.9 – 1.7 Austria Vienna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austria Vienna to win✓
61%
1.63
1.37
Double chance
Austria Vienna or draw✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Austria Vienna (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
FK Liepaja +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Austria Vienna to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austria Vienna / FT Austria Vienna✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
FK Liepaja – last 6
WLWLWL
15 Jul
@ Dečić
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Auda
0–1
L
9 Jul
vs Dečić
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–3
L
30 Jun
vs Ogre United
4–0
W
26 Jun
vs Rīgas FS
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Austria Vienna – last 6
WDDWLW
17 Jul
vs Paks
4–1
W
8 Jul
vs Dunajska Streda
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Debreceni VSC
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Parndorf
4–0
W
17 May
vs Lask Linz
0–3
L
3 May
vs TSV Hartberg
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Austria Vienna.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Austria Vienna 61%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–1 Austria Vienna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.