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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flora Tallinn v The New Saints: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · A. Le Coq Arena

Flora Tallinn

LDLWW
1–0
FT

The New Saints

LLWDW
Flora Tallinn 29%Draw 34%The New Saints 38% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.71
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultThe New Saints to win ✗38% · @2.78
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✗71% · @1.60
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

The New Saints travel to face Flora Tallinn on Thursday 23 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with A. Le Coq Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Flora Tallinn, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nõmme United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

The New Saints, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sabah FA, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours The New Saints, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Flora Tallinn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flora Tallinn 1.2 xG, The New Saints 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flora Tallinn 29%, draw 34%, The New Saints 38%.
  • Lower-risk option: The New Saints or draw (71%) at 1.60.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora Tallinn 1–1 The New Saints. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flora Tallinn29%fair 3.49 · @2.26
Draw34%fair 2.98 · @3.50
The New Saints38%fair 2.65 · @2.78
2.96Expected goals
1.25Flora Tallinn xG
1.71The New Saints xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Flora Tallinn 1.2 – 1.7 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win ✗38%2.652.78
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✗71%1.401.60 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.60
Draw no betThe New Saints (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapFlora Tallinn +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreThe New Saints to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Flora Tallinn – last 6

LDLWWL
17 Julvs Nõmme United1–2L
14 Jul@ Saburtalo2–2D
8 Julvs Saburtalo2–3L
2 Jul@ Kuressaare3–0W
28 Jun@ FC Levadia Tallinn2–1W
21 Junvs Paide1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

The New Saints – last 6

LLWDWW
14 Julvs Sabah FA1–2L
7 Jul@ Sabah FA0–2L
26 Jun@ H&W Welders2–1W
24 Jun@ Glentoran1–1D
3 Aprvs GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1W
27 Mar@ Caernarfon Town4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Flora Tallinn and The New Saints.

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT FK Liepaja0 Austria Vienna2 116%8.00X23%4.20261%1.37 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 CFR 1907 Cluj1 131%3.65X36%3.20233%1.98 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Panevėžys1 FK Tobol Kostanay1 130%3.30X36%3.25234%2.10 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT HJK Helsinki5 Coleraine FC0 164%1.36X21%4.45215%7.70 2.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 149%1.78X25%3.40226%4.20 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 121%3.95X24%3.30255%1.88 1.0–1.7xG X2Apollon Limassol or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Paide1 Zira0 126%7.80X23%4.90251%1.32 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

On our numbers Flora Tallinn have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 34% and The New Saints 38%.

How many goals will there be in Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

Our predicted score is Flora Tallinn 1–1 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.