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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paide v Zira: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Parnu Rannastaadion

Paide

LWDWD
1–0
FT

Zira

WWLWL
Paide 26%Draw 23%Zira 51% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.35
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZira to win ✗51% · @1.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Paide vs Zira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Thursday 23 July: Paide v Zira in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Current form

Paide, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Laagri, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Zira, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Torpedo Kutaisi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.3 xG, Zira 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 26%, draw 23%, Zira 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 1–1 Zira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paide26%fair 3.82 · @7.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.90
Zira51%fair 1.97 · @1.32
2.66Expected goals
1.32Paide xG
1.35Zira xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Paide 1.3 – 1.3 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZira to win ✗51%1.971.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Draw no betZira (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapPaide +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreZira to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zira / FT Zira ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Paide – last 6

LWDWDW
19 Jul@ Laagri2–5L
16 Julvs Hegelmann Litauen3–0W
9 Jul@ Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
4 Julvs Vaprus3–1W
28 Jun@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
21 Jun@ Flora Tallinn2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zira – last 6

WWLWLD
16 Jul@ Torpedo Kutaisi3–0W
8 Julvs Torpedo Kutaisi3–0W
23 May@ Araz2–3L
17 Mayvs Sumqayıt2–1W
13 May@ Sabah FA1–2L
8 May@ Imisli FK0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Paide and Zira.

Paide vs Zira head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Malisheva2 Hibernian0 124%5.60X25%4.00251%1.51 1.4–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja0 Austria Vienna2 116%8.00X23%4.20261%1.37 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 CFR 1907 Cluj1 131%3.65X36%3.20233%1.98 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Panevėžys1 FK Tobol Kostanay1 130%3.30X36%3.25234%2.10 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT HJK Helsinki5 Coleraine FC0 164%1.36X21%4.45215%7.70 2.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Flora Tallinn1 The New Saints0 129%2.26X34%3.50238%2.78 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✗
FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 149%1.78X25%3.40226%4.20 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 121%3.95X24%3.30255%1.88 1.0–1.7xG X2Apollon Limassol or draw 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paide vs Zira?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Paide vs Zira?

On our numbers Paide have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zira 51%.

How many goals will there be in Paide vs Zira?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paide vs Zira?

Our predicted score is Paide 1–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Paide vs Zira?

Paide vs Zira (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.