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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Motherwell v HB Torshavn: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Fir Park

Motherwell

LLLLW
2–0
FT

HB Torshavn

WWLWL
Motherwell 64%Draw 19%HB Torshavn 17% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.11
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 55% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMotherwell to win ✓64% · @1.13
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Motherwell vs HB Torshavn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Thursday 23 July: Motherwell v HB Torshavn in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Fir Park.

Current form

Motherwell, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Genk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.

HB Torshavn, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over 07 Vestur, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours HB Torshavn, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.6 for Motherwell.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 1.9 xG, HB Torshavn 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 64%, draw 19%, HB Torshavn 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.55.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 1–1 HB Torshavn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motherwell64%fair 1.56 · @1.13
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @6.40
HB Torshavn17%fair 5.95 · @20.00
3.04Expected goals
1.93Motherwell xG
1.11HB Torshavn xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Motherwell 1.9 – 1.1 HB Torshavn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMotherwell to win ✓64%1.561.13
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓83%1.20–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.832.55 ▲
Draw no betMotherwell (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapHB Torshavn +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.651.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
First team to scoreMotherwell to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultMotherwell ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Motherwell / FT Motherwell ✓35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Motherwell – last 5

LLLLW
17 Julvs Genk3–4L
5 Jul@ Aarhus0–4L
13 Mayvs Celtic2–3L
18 Feb@ Aberdeen0–2L
15 Febvs Aberdeen2–0W
1.4Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

HB Torshavn – last 6

WWLWLD
5 Jul@ 07 Vestur4–1W
29 Junvs Skála4–1W
25 Jun@ Vikingur Gota0–4L
21 Jun@ B36 Torshavn3–0W
14 Jun@ AB1–3L
30 Mayvs Vikingur Gota0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and HB Torshavn.

Motherwell vs HB Torshavn head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?

On our numbers Motherwell have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and HB Torshavn 17%.

How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?

Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–1 HB Torshavn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?

Motherwell vs HB Torshavn (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.