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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beitar Jerusalem v AEK Larnaca: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Stadionul Ilie Oană

Beitar Jerusalem

WDDDD
2–3
FTPens 4–3

AEK Larnaca

LDLLW
Beitar Jerusalem 44%Draw 25%AEK Larnaca 31% Expected goals 1.10 – 0.97
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeitar Jerusalem to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.46

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AEK Larnaca travel to face Beitar Jerusalem on Thursday 30 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Stadionul Ilie Oană the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Beitar Jerusalem, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AEK Larnaca, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AEK Larnaca, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Beitar Jerusalem, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended AEK Larnaca 0–1 Beitar Jerusalem.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beitar Jerusalem 1.1 xG, AEK Larnaca 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beitar Jerusalem 44%, draw 25%, AEK Larnaca 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beitar Jerusalem 1–0 AEK Larnaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beitar Jerusalem44%fair 2.30 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.40
AEK Larnaca31%fair 3.22 · @3.05
2.07Expected goals
1.10Beitar Jerusalem xG
0.97AEK Larnaca xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Beitar Jerusalem 1.1 – 1.0 AEK Larnaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeitar Jerusalem to win ✗44%2.302.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.83
Draw no betBeitar Jerusalem (draw no bet) ✗58%1.71–
Asian handicapAEK Larnaca +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗94%1.06–
First team to scoreBeitar Jerusalem to score first47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beitar Jerusalem / FT Beitar Jerusalem ✗22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.46–

Recent results

Beitar Jerusalem – last 6

WDDDDD
23 Jul@ AEK Larnaca1–0W
18 Julvs Hapoel Tel Aviv2–2D
7 Jul@ Arda Kardzhali0–0D
3 Jul@ Botev Vratsa2–2D
19 May@ Hapoel Petah Tikva0–0D
12 Mayvs Hapoel Beer Sheva1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AEK Larnaca – last 6

LDLLWW
23 Julvs Beitar Jerusalem0–1L
16 Jul@ Apollon Limassol0–0D
10 Jul@ Ajax0–1L
7 Jul@ PAOK2–3L
4 Jul@ Helmond Sport2–1W
22 May@ Aris4–3W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026AEK Larnaca v Beitar Jerusalem0–1
Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 159%1.29X22%4.90219%9.10 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X21%3.85219%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 128%4.45X26%3.70247%1.68 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 144%2.88X21%3.70235%2.12 2.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 149%2.10X25%3.25225%3.30 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

On our numbers Beitar Jerusalem have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AEK Larnaca 31%.

How many goals will there be in Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

Our predicted score is Beitar Jerusalem 1–0 AEK Larnaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Ilie Oană.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.