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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Noah v Zimbru: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Abovyan City Stadium

FC Noah

DDDWL
2–1
FT

Zimbru

WDDLW
FC Noah 59%Draw 22%Zimbru 19% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.03
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Noah to win ✓59% · @1.29
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✓81% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.72

FC Noah vs Zimbru: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 30 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings FC Noah against Zimbru at Abovyan City Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Noah, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zimbru, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Zimbru, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Politehnica UTM, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Zimbru 1–1 FC Noah.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Noah 1.5 xG, Zimbru 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Noah 59%, draw 22%, Zimbru 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Noah 1–1 Zimbru. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Noah59%fair 1.69 · @1.29
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.90
Zimbru19%fair 5.20 · @9.10
2.56Expected goals
1.53FC Noah xG
1.03Zimbru xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: FC Noah 1.5 – 1.0 Zimbru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Noah to win ✓59%1.691.29
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✓81%1.241.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.922.10 ▲
Draw no betFC Noah (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapZimbru +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.22
First team to scoreFC Noah to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Noah / FT FC Noah ✓29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.72–

Recent results

FC Noah – last 6

DDDWLW
23 Jul@ Zimbru1–1D
7 Jul@ CFR 1907 Cluj1–1D
4 Jul@ Mura1–1D
28 Jun@ Aluminij2–0W
23 Jun@ Koper0–2L
27 May@ FC Urartu5–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Zimbru – last 6

WDDLWD
26 Jul@ Politehnica UTM2–0W
23 Julvs FC Noah1–1D
18 Julvs Sireți1–1D
12 Jul@ Sheriff Tiraspol2–4L
5 Julvs CSF Bălți3–0W
27 Jun@ Milsami Orhei0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Zimbru v FC Noah1–1
FC Noah vs Zimbru head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT Auda4 FCSB1 128%4.55X23%3.85249%1.64 1.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT FK Jablonec2 NK Varazdin0 151%1.64X27%3.85222%4.55 1.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X21%3.85219%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 128%4.45X26%3.70247%1.68 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 144%2.88X21%3.70235%2.12 2.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 149%2.10X25%3.25225%3.30 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Zira1 Paide1 158%1.21X23%5.10219%15.00 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Noah vs Zimbru?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Noah vs Zimbru?

On our numbers FC Noah have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zimbru 19%.

How many goals will there be in FC Noah vs Zimbru?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Noah vs Zimbru?

Our predicted score is FC Noah 1–1 Zimbru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is FC Noah vs Zimbru?

FC Noah vs Zimbru (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Abovyan City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.