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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zira v Paide: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Kapital Bank Arena

Zira

LWWLW
1–1
FT

Paide

WLWDW
Zira 58%Draw 23%Paide 19% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.02
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultZira to win ✗58% · @1.21
Double chanceZira or draw ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Zira vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 30 July the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Zira against Paide at Kapital Bank Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Zira, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paide, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Paide, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zira, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Paide 1–0 Zira.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.4 xG, Paide 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 58%, draw 23%, Paide 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.35.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zira58%fair 1.73 · @1.21
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @5.10
Paide19%fair 5.23 · @15.00
2.44Expected goals
1.42Zira xG
1.02Paide xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Zira 1.4 – 1.0 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZira to win ✗58%1.731.21
Double chanceZira or draw ✓81%1.24–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.35 ▲
Draw no betZira (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapPaide +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.992.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreZira to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zira / FT Zira ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

Zira – last 6

LWWLWL
23 Jul@ Paide0–1L
16 Jul@ Torpedo Kutaisi3–0W
8 Julvs Torpedo Kutaisi3–0W
23 May@ Araz2–3L
17 Mayvs Sumqayıt2–1W
13 May@ Sabah FA1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Paide – last 6

WLWDWD
23 Julvs Zira1–0W
19 Jul@ Laagri2–5L
16 Julvs Hegelmann Litauen3–0W
9 Jul@ Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
4 Julvs Vaprus3–1W
28 Jun@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Paide v Zira1–0
Zira vs Paide head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT FK Tobol Kostanay1 Panevėžys1 Pens 3–2 161%1.25X22%5.10217%10.75 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Auda4 FCSB1 128%4.55X23%3.85249%1.64 1.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT FK Jablonec2 NK Varazdin0 151%1.64X27%3.85222%4.55 1.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 159%1.29X22%4.90219%9.10 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X21%3.85219%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 128%4.45X26%3.70247%1.68 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 144%2.88X21%3.70235%2.12 2.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 149%2.10X25%3.25225%3.30 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zira vs Paide?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Zira vs Paide?

On our numbers Zira have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paide 19%.

How many goals will there be in Zira vs Paide?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zira vs Paide?

Our predicted score is Zira 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Zira vs Paide?

Zira vs Paide (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kapital Bank Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.