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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kalju Nomme v Shelbourne: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Pärnu Rannastaadion

Kalju Nomme

LDDWW
2–1
FT

Shelbourne

WDDWD
Kalju Nomme 44%Draw 21%Shelbourne 35% Expected goals 2.12 – 1.44
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Kalju Nomme to win @ 2.88 – our chance 44% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKalju Nomme to win ✓44% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.88

Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shelbourne travel to face Kalju Nomme on Thursday 30 July in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Pärnu Rannastaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Kalju Nomme, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Shelbourne, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Shelbourne, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Kalju Nomme, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju Nomme.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kalju Nomme 2.1 xG, Shelbourne 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kalju Nomme 44%, draw 21%, Shelbourne 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Kalju Nomme to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalju Nomme 2–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kalju Nomme44%fair 2.28 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.70
Shelbourne35%fair 2.88 · @2.12
3.56Expected goals
2.12Kalju Nomme xG
1.44Shelbourne xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
3–16%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Kalju Nomme 2.1 – 1.4 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKalju Nomme to win ✓44%2.282.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.65
Draw no betKalju Nomme (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapShelbourne +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.651.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
First team to scoreKalju Nomme to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultKalju Nomme ahead at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kalju Nomme / FT Kalju Nomme ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.88–

Recent results

Kalju Nomme – last 6

LDDWWD
23 Jul@ Shelbourne2–5L
19 Jul@ Kuressaare0–0D
16 Jul@ Linfield2–2D
9 Julvs Linfield1–0W
3 Jul@ Nõmme United3–1W
28 Junvs Paide1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shelbourne – last 6

WDDWDL
23 Julvs Kalju Nomme5–2W
17 Jul@ Kerry2–2D
7 Julvs Celtic1–1D
3 Julvs Dundalk2–1W
27 Jun@ Sligo Rovers2–2D
22 Junvs Bohemians0–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Shelbourne v Kalju Nomme5–2
Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne head-to-head page →

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FT Zira1 Paide1 158%1.21X23%5.10219%15.00 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?

On our numbers Kalju Nomme have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shelbourne 35%.

How many goals will there be in Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?

Our predicted score is Kalju Nomme 2–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne?

Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Pärnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.