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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilves v Stjarnan: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Tammela Stadium

Ilves

WLWWD
1–0
FTPens 5–4

Stjarnan

LWLDW
Ilves 60%Draw 21%Stjarnan 19% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlves to win ✓60% · @1.69
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Ilves vs Stjarnan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Thursday 30 July: Ilves v Stjarnan in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Tammela Stadium.

Current form

Ilves, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lahti, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Stjarnan, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to IA Akranes, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Stjarnan 1–0 Ilves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 2.0 xG, Stjarnan 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 60%, draw 21%, Stjarnan 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ilves or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 2–0 Stjarnan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilves60%fair 1.66 · @1.69
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.85
Stjarnan19%fair 5.28 · @4.20
2.97Expected goals
2.00Ilves xG
0.97Stjarnan xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ilves 2.0 – 1.0 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win ✓60%1.661.69
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓81%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.57
Draw no betIlves (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapIlves -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreIlves to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultIlves ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Ilves – last 6

WLWWDL
26 Julvs Lahti1–0W
23 Jul@ Stjarnan0–1L
20 Jul@ Turku PS3–1W
16 Julvs FC Differdange 033–1W
8 Jul@ FC Differdange 030–0D
4 Jul@ FF Jaro1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stjarnan – last 6

LWLDWD
26 Jul@ IA Akranes1–5L
23 Julvs Ilves1–0W
19 Jul@ KR Reykjavik0–5L
16 Jul@ Vikingur Gota2–2D
9 Julvs Vikingur Gota3–1W
3 Jul@ FH hafnarfjordur2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Stjarnan v Ilves1–0
Ilves vs Stjarnan head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT FK Tobol Kostanay1 Panevėžys1 Pens 3–2 161%1.25X22%5.10217%10.75 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Auda4 FCSB1 128%4.55X23%3.85249%1.64 1.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT FK Jablonec2 NK Varazdin0 151%1.64X27%3.85222%4.55 1.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 159%1.29X22%4.90219%9.10 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 128%4.45X26%3.70247%1.68 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 144%2.88X21%3.70235%2.12 2.1–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 149%2.10X25%3.25225%3.30 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Zira1 Paide1 158%1.21X23%5.10219%15.00 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs Stjarnan?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ilves vs Stjarnan?

On our numbers Ilves have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stjarnan 19%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Stjarnan?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Stjarnan?

Our predicted score is Ilves 2–0 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs Stjarnan?

Ilves vs Stjarnan (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.