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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundee v Motherwell: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Dens Park

Dundee

LDLWL
2–1
FT
Dundee 36%Draw 22%Motherwell 41% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.30
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultMotherwell to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98

Dundee vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Dundee v Motherwell in the Premiership, played at Dens Park. In the table, Dundee are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Motherwell are 9th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Dundee, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Heart Of Midlothian, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Motherwell, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Aberdeen, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dundee, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Motherwell.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundee 1.2 xG, Motherwell 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundee 36%, draw 22%, Motherwell 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundee 1–1 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundee36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Motherwell41%fair 2.41 · @2.25
2.50Expected goals
1.20Dundee xG
1.30Motherwell xG
62%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Dundee 1.2 – 1.3 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMotherwell to win ✗41%2.412.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.55
Draw no betMotherwell (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapDundee +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreMotherwell to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Motherwell / FT Motherwell ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.98–

Recent results

Dundee – last 6

LDLWLW
6 Sep@ Heart Of Midlothian1–2L
2 Sepvs ST Johnstone1–1D
30 Augvs Hibernian1–2L
22 Aug@ Dundee Utd2–0W
15 Aug@ Aberdeen0–3L
8 Augvs Aberdeen2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Motherwell – last 6

LLWDLL
15 Sepvs Aberdeen0–4L
5 Sep@ Rangers0–1L
2 Sepvs Dundee Utd3–0W
30 Aug@ ST Mirren3–3D
27 Aug@ SC Freiburg1–4L
20 Augvs SC Freiburg1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dundee and Motherwell.

Dundee vs Motherwell head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee vs Motherwell?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Dundee vs Motherwell?

On our numbers Dundee have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motherwell 41%.

How many goals will there be in Dundee vs Motherwell?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundee vs Motherwell?

Our predicted score is Dundee 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Dundee vs Motherwell?

Dundee vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dens Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.