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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ST Mirren v Dundee Utd: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · The SMiSA Stadium
0–3
FT
ST Mirren 43%Draw 22%Dundee Utd 35% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.20
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultST Mirren to win ✗43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dundee Utd travel to face ST Mirren on Saturday 19 September in the Premiership, with The SMiSA Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Dundee Utd are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

ST Mirren, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Dundee Utd, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Falkirk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours ST Mirren, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Dundee Utd.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd. The last 2 head-to-heads: ST Mirren 0 wins, Dundee Utd 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ST Mirren 1.4 xG, Dundee Utd 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ST Mirren 43%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ST Mirren43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Dundee Utd35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
2.58Expected goals
1.38ST Mirren xG
1.20Dundee Utd xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.4 – 1.2 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultST Mirren to win ✗43%2.312.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.57
Draw no betST Mirren (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapDundee Utd +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreST Mirren to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT ST Mirren / FT ST Mirren ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

ST Mirren – last 6

LLWDLW
9 Sep@ Rangers0–1L
5 Sepvs Celtic1–2L
2 Sep@ Kilmarnock1–0W
30 Augvs Motherwell3–3D
16 Aug@ Rangers1–5L
8 Augvs ST Johnstone1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dundee Utd – last 6

DLWLLL
5 Sepvs Falkirk1–1D
2 Sep@ Motherwell0–3L
29 Aug@ Kilmarnock4–0W
22 Augvs Dundee0–2L
15 Augvs Celtic0–4L
9 Aug@ Heart Of Midlothian0–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026ST Mirren v Dundee Utd1–1
3 Mar 2026Dundee Utd v ST Mirren2–1
ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?

On our numbers ST Mirren have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundee Utd 35%.

How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?

Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMiSA Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.