Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hibernian to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHibernian to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceHibernian or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Hibernian vs Aberdeen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Premiership brings Hibernian against Aberdeen at Easter Road. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Hibernian are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Aberdeen are 11th (in the drop zone) with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hibernian, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kilmarnock, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Aberdeen, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Motherwell, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hibernian 1.7 xG, Aberdeen 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernian 62%, draw 21%, Aberdeen 18%.
Lower-risk option: Hibernian or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Hibernian to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hibernian or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernian 1–0 Aberdeen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hibernian62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.70
Aberdeen18%fair 5.67 · @4.20
2.50Expected goals
1.73Hibernian xG
0.77Aberdeen xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hibernian 1.7 – 0.8 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hibernian to win✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Hibernian or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Draw no bet
Hibernian (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Hibernian -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Hibernian to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Hibernian ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hibernian / FT Hibernian✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Hibernian – last 6
LWLLWL
15 Sep
vs Kilmarnock
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Ross County
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Dundee
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Gent
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aberdeen – last 6
WDDLLW
15 Sep
@ Motherwell
4–0
W
12 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Kilmarnock
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ Celtic
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Rangers
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dundee
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hibernian and Aberdeen.
Our pick is Hibernian or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Hibernian have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aberdeen 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Hibernian 1–0 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
Hibernian vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
