Value bet: Falkirk to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultST Johnstone to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Premiership brings ST Johnstone against Falkirk at McDiarmid Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, ST Johnstone are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
ST Johnstone, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Celtic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Falkirk, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Heart Of Midlothian, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Johnstone 1.4 xG, Falkirk 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Johnstone 45%, draw 22%, Falkirk 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Falkirk to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Johnstone45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Falkirk33%fair 3.03 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.38ST Johnstone xG
1.12Falkirk xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.1 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Johnstone to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Draw no bet
ST Johnstone (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Falkirk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
ST Johnstone to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
ST Johnstone – last 6
LWDLLW
9 Sep
vs Celtic
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Hibernian
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Dundee
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ ST Mirren
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Kilmarnock
4–3
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 6
WDLLDL
15 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Rangers
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Celtic
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Motherwell
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs ST Mirren
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Falkirk.
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Falkirk 33%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ST Johnstone vs Falkirk?
ST Johnstone vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
