Kilmarnock 14%Draw 21%Heart Of Midlothian 65%Expected goals 1.00 – 2.25
65%
Betarazi pick
Heart Of Midlothian to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:45 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Kilmarnock v Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, played at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park. In the table, Kilmarnock are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Heart Of Midlothian are 4th (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Kilmarnock, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hibernian, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Falkirk, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Heart Of Midlothian, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Kilmarnock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.0 xG, Heart Of Midlothian 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 14%, draw 21%, Heart Of Midlothian 65%.
Lower-risk option: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heart Of Midlothian to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kilmarnock14%fair 7.03 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.90
Heart Of Midlothian65%fair 1.55 · @1.67
3.25Expected goals
1.00Kilmarnock xG
2.25Heart Of Midlothian xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.0 – 2.3 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✗
65%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Heart Of Midlothian (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Heart Of Midlothian -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Heart Of Midlothian to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Kilmarnock – last 6
WDDLLW
15 Sep
@ Hibernian
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Aberdeen
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Aberdeen
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Sep
@ Falkirk
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenhousemuir
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Rapid Vienna
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Heart Of Midlothian 65%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
