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Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Vitality Stadium
Sat 21 Nov 2026
Bournemouth 50%Draw 25%Nottingham Forest 25% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.03
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBournemouth to win50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.48

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 November: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, played at Vitality Stadium. In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Nottingham Forest are 16th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

Bournemouth, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ipswich, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Nottingham Forest, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Manchester City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bournemouth, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Nottingham Forest.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.6 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 50%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bournemouth50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Nottingham Forest25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
2.65Expected goals
1.62Bournemouth xG
1.03Nottingham Forest xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.6 – 1.0 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BournemouthNottingham Forest
Attack vs Premier League average+12%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-6%-5%
Our expected goals here1.610.98

Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBournemouth to win50%1.992.00
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.67
Draw no betBournemouth (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapNottingham Forest +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.421.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.14
First team to scoreBournemouth to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.48–

Recent results

Bournemouth – last 6

WWWWWW
8 Nov@ Ipswich2–1W
5 Nov@ Sparta Praha3–1W
31 Octvs Leeds2–0W
28 Octvs Aston Villa3–0W
25 Oct@ Manchester United3–0W
22 Octvs AC Milan3–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nottingham Forest – last 6

WLDLLL
7 Novvs Manchester City3–1W
31 Oct@ Brentford0–2L
23 Oct@ Ipswich1–1D
18 Octvs Arsenal0–1L
11 Oct@ Crystal Palace1–3L
19 Sepvs Coventry0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth1–1
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

On our numbers Bournemouth have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nottingham Forest 25%.

How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.