Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 November: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, played at Vitality Stadium. In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Nottingham Forest are 16th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Bournemouth, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ipswich, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nottingham Forest, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Manchester City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bournemouth, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Nottingham Forest.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.6 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 50%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 25%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Nottingham Forest25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
2.65Expected goals
1.62Bournemouth xG
1.03Nottingham Forest xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.6 – 1.0 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Attack vs Premier League average
+12%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.98
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nottingham Forest 25%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.