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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Coventry v Crystal Palace: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Coventry Building Society Arena
Sat 21 Nov 2026
Coventry 45%Draw 23%Crystal Palace 31% Expected goals 1.83 – 1.33
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Coventry to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCoventry to win45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.59

Coventry vs Crystal Palace: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Coventry welcome Crystal Palace to Coventry Building Society Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 21 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Coventry are 17th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Crystal Palace are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Coventry, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Everton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Crystal Palace, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Liverpool, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Coventry, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Crystal Palace.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Coventry 1.8 xG, Crystal Palace 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Coventry 45%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Coventry to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coventry 1–1 Crystal Palace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Coventry45%fair 2.21 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Crystal Palace31%fair 3.18 · @2.70
3.17Expected goals
1.83Coventry xG
1.33Crystal Palace xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Coventry 1.8 – 1.3 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CoventryCrystal Palace
Attack vs Premier League average-7%-17%
Goals conceded vs average+31%+48%
Our expected goals here2.111.29

Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCoventry to win45%2.212.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.631.62
Draw no betCoventry (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapCrystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.581.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.251.17
First team to scoreCoventry to score first55%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Coventry / FT Coventry30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.59–

Recent results

Coventry – last 6

LWLLWW
6 Nov@ Everton1–3L
31 Octvs Sunderland3–1W
24 Octvs Fulham0–1L
19 Oct@ Tottenham1–3L
12 Octvs Newcastle4–1W
19 Sep@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Crystal Palace – last 6

LDLWLD
8 Novvs Liverpool1–3L
5 Novvs 1899 Hoffenheim1–1D
31 Oct@ Tottenham0–2L
28 Oct@ Fulham1–0W
25 Octvs Newcastle0–2L
22 Oct@ Beşiktaş2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Coventry and Crystal Palace.

Coventry vs Crystal Palace head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

On our numbers Coventry have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crystal Palace 31%.

How many goals will there be in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

Our predicted score is Coventry 1–1 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

Coventry vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Coventry Building Society Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.