Manchester City 61%Draw 23%Fulham 17%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.94
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win61% · @1.44
Double chanceManchester City or draw83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.10
Manchester City vs Fulham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 November the Premier League brings Manchester City against Fulham at Etihad Stadium. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Manchester City are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Fulham are 15th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Manchester City, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nottingham Forest, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Fulham, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Newcastle, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City 1.9 xG, Fulham 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City 61%, draw 23%, Fulham 17%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City 1–0 Fulham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City61%fair 1.65 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.75
Fulham17%fair 6.02 · @6.25
2.81Expected goals
1.87Manchester City xG
0.94Fulham xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Manchester City 1.9 – 0.9 Fulham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Manchester City
Fulham
Attack vs Premier League average
+25%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.59
0.89
Our own ratings from every Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win
61%
1.65
1.44
Double chance
Manchester City or draw
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Manchester City (draw no bet)
78%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Fulham +1.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.26
1.28
First team to score
Manchester City to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Manchester City – last 6
LWLDLW
7 Nov
@ Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
4 Nov
@ RB Leipzig
3–2
W
31 Oct
vs Brighton
0–1
L
28 Oct
vs Brighton
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Aston Villa
1–2
L
20 Oct
vs AEK Athens FC
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fulham – last 6
DDLWWL
7 Nov
vs Newcastle
1–1
D
31 Oct
@ Aston Villa
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Coventry
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Hull City
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Ipswich
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City and Fulham.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Fulham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
On our numbers Manchester City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fulham 17%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Fulham?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Fulham?
Our predicted score is Manchester City 1–0 Fulham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City vs Fulham (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Etihad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
